I received the email last night. We have a July 21-26 package at AKL booked with the free dining recovery. So if I figured it right, I would be getting around $875 off my package if they drop the dining and just take 35% off my room rate. With 4 people in our room, the free regular dining plan was a great deal. Now our trip is going to cost more to feed us all. Not worth it for a reduced experience at the parks. So sad but we are cancelling.
Yeah, for a family of 4 at a deluxe hotel, the Free
DDP had a value of $313/night (provided, of course that you would use all the credits). You would need to have a rack room rate of over $900 to make the 35% a better value than the DDP at a deluxe hotel (or fewer Disney adults).
For a family of 4 at a Mod or Value, the Free QSDP had a value of $220/night (provided, of course, that you would use all the credits). You would need a rack rate room of over $600 to make the 35% a better value than the QSDP at a value or mod (or fewer Disney adults). And, yes, there are very few rooms at a mod that would be over $600 (I think only the suites at CSR).
If their goal is to get people to cancel so that they can stay within the capacity limits that they are aiming to have, this is certainly providing incentives to cancel. It's not only that it's not as good of a deal anymore. If you read the restaurant board, a lot of people get value out of not having to worry about paying for their meals once they are onsite, even when the DDP may not be the "best" deal. Some people would rather pre-pay for the dining plan and even if they only break even, they find "psychological value" because once they arrive onsite, they are not looking a the prices of the entrees and the adult beverages.
I think a lot of the free DDP people would have been OK with limited hours and limited experiences, as long as they could still look forward to some nice meals. But, the uncertainty about TS dining, elimination of character dining, elimination of the dining plans, and cancellation of free dining will get a lot of the guests that would have cared less about the limited operational/hours hours to consider canceling. It's like Disney is trying to get a lot of people to cancel from all different angles possible.