While there are many here who have been students of DVC strategies longer than me, I will say in the years I've been around, I've never seen direct prices go down. They may offer better incentives, BUT for VGF they won't need to offer bigger deals to get it to sell out at the pace they expect, so if it were me, I'd go with what they are offering as the next incentive would likely not be any better. Knowing that the current incentives expire on the 24th, you can wait until the 23rd or 24th to make your purchase then if the incentives announced on the 25th are better, you can rescind the contract. Most of the time, the guide can just edit your contract for the new incentives at that point, but only during the 10 day rescind period. Good luck!