yankeesfan123
Mouseketeer
- Joined
- Jan 3, 2013
Of course. Didn’t mean to sound like I was disputing you.Yes there are still essential cast in the parks running rides and doing maintenance. I was more speaking to actual construction projects.
Of course. Didn’t mean to sound like I was disputing you.Yes there are still essential cast in the parks running rides and doing maintenance. I was more speaking to actual construction projects.
They are taking reservations to them all.I think the resorts will be in phases as well. They wont fill them all for a long time so why open them all together?
I'm not sure you can infer that 6/1 is a non-starter from the postponement of the theatrical release. Every day that the parks are closed will lose Disney more money and more money - if they open on 6/1, then they are unlikely to be fully back to normal, but will at least be bringing in some revenue. By contrast, postponing a theatrical release will just postpone the income from that movie - you will still realise the full benefit of the revenue, just at a slightly later date. Why release the movie on schedule, and only get 75% of what you expected, when you can postpone and potentially get 100%?Right, my point was that a lot of people think Disney world will be open by 6/1... but if disney is canceling the theatrical release of a movie on Memorial Day weekend, it adds to the speculation that Disney realizes things will not be “back to normal” by 6/1, and Disney world will not be open by 6/1.
Countries in Europe are taking about about 4 weeks to peak - and USA is following roughly the same curve. So I would suggest that a late May peak may be quite late - I expect most of the US to peak by end of April/beginning of May.Here in CT, the statewide “peak” will be in 2-3 weeks, but if you break it down by county, it’s really the county just outside of NYC that will peak in 2-3 weeks, while the northern county (only about 2 hours away) won’t peak until late May.
They are taking reservations to them all.
I really think when one park at WDW opens, everything at WDW will open. I just don’t think it makes economic or PR sense not to do it that way. If you only open on a limited basis you send a message to your potential customers that everything isn’t normal and you don’t think it is really safe.
I do actually think they might open with the parks open to resort guests only for the first couple of weeks. This would allow them to work through the kinks of reopening and train employees under the reduced stress of smaller crowds.
These are the trackers that we check.Countries in Europe are taking about about 4 weeks to peak - and USA is following roughly the same curve. So I would suggest that a late May peak may be quite late - I expect most of the US to peak by end of April/beginning of May.
I've started tracking data for Florida in my data analysis now - I've found historical daily number of cases, but I'm trying to find data for the last few weeks for how many people have died for each day in Florida - can any of you point me to where I might find that data? I've managed to find data for the last 4 days, but not before that.
Not a postponement of a theatrical release, but moving it to Disney+I'm not sure you can infer that 6/1 is a non-starter from the postponement of the theatrical release. Every day that the parks are closed will lose Disney more money and more money - if they open on 6/1, then they are unlikely to be fully back to normal, but will at least be bringing in some revenue. By contrast, postponing a theatrical release will just postpone the income from that movie - you will still realise the full benefit of the revenue, just at a slightly later date. Why release the movie on schedule, and only get 75% of what you expected, when you can postpone and potentially get 100%?
The hope is that, if there is a second wave (assuming the full wave dissipates and the parks actually open before the Fall, which is arguable), then we will be prepared with hospital beds, PPE, and maybe not a vaccine but at least medicine to treat the disease.If before there is a vaccine or proven treatment, there is no "normal" or "safe" place in the world. Anyone sending a message that it would be "safe" is irresponsible. And the "normal" you have in mind is gone. If WDW opens and tries to run "normal" when the 2nd wave hits in the fall, there will not be enough PR in the world to fix that.
The world is not going to shut down for a year. The goal is to get all areas of the country past what will be the high parts of the curve to get to the point that the medical system won’t crash when we return to a somewhat normal life. This needed to be done, but we can’t keep the country shutdown past the point where the stress on the medical system would be no greater with the return to normal life than a bad seasonal flu season would be.If before there is a vaccine or proven treatment, there is no "normal" or "safe" place in the world. Anyone sending a message that it would be "safe" is irresponsible. And the "normal" you have in mind is gone. If WDW opens and tries to run "normal" when the 2nd wave hits in the fall, there will not be enough PR in the world to fix that.
The most important thing to work on now is an antibody test. Much evidence suggests that there is a massive percentage of people that contract the virus that never develop any symptoms. When we find how much this has actually already spread through the society we will be much better prepared to make an informed decision about how we go about returning to normal life.The hope is that, if there is a second wave (assuming the full wave dissipates and the parks actually open before the Fall, which is arguable), then we will be prepared with hospital beds, PPE, and maybe not a vaccine but at least medicine to treat the disease.
Doesn’t mean Disney (or other high volume venues such as sports or concerts) should be running just because there’s a treatment.
Keep in mind the IMHE hasn’t been updated since 4/1 , it will update Today and while good , changes a lot right now, what it says today will change a good bit and then change a good bit the next time, best guess based on limited data etc.These are the trackers that we check.
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/https://covid19.healthdata.org/
Countries in Europe are taking about about 4 weeks to peak - and USA is following roughly the same curve. So I would suggest that a late May peak may be quite late - I expect most of the US to peak by end of April/beginning of May.
And, in keeping with the strict social distancing, it is my belief that large gatherings will be the very last thing to get back up and running.Also agree, the economy will not be shutdown like this till vaccine, we will wade back into opening things up in May , like non essential businesses etc but with strict social distancing and the ease up a bit more in June, pretty much a reversal of how they shut things down, but much slower in opening. Plus we will see a lot of masks.
With Sports they can play with no crowd if need be and they are also entertainment which people could use to take their minds off things. I have a feeling this is going to last much longer then people are expecting. A lot of that has to do with how different states are reacting to this.And, in keeping with the strict social distancing, it is my belief that large gatherings will be the very last thing to get back up and running.
Trump apparently had a phone call with the heads of all major league sports today. I would love to know what that discussion was like. I really think we will see sports (with crowds) starting before Disney re-opens their doors to the parks.
If before there is a vaccine or proven treatment, there is no "normal" or "safe" place in the world. Anyone sending a message that it would be "safe" is irresponsible. And the "normal" you have in mind is gone. If WDW opens and tries to run "normal" when the 2nd wave hits in the fall, there will not be enough PR in the world to fix that.
The world is not going to shut down for a year. The goal is to get all areas of the country past what will be the high parts of the curve to get to the point that the medical system won’t crash when we return to a somewhat normal life. This needed to be done, but we can’t keep the country shutdown past the point where the stress on the medical system would be no greater with the return to normal life than a bad seasonal flu season would be.
Nothing in life was completely safe before this and people will accept those same risk after we get past the worst part of this.
Keep in mind the IMHE hasn’t been updated since 4/1 , it will update Today and while good , changes a lot right now, what it says today will change a good bit and then change a good bit the next time, best guess based on limited data etc.
With Sports they can play with no crowd if need be and they are also entertainment which people could use to take their minds off things. I have a feeling this is going to last much longer then people are expecting. A lot of that has to do with how different states are reacting to this.